TY - GEN
T1 - A holistic approach to computer-aided scenario design targeting sustainable manufacturing
AU - Kishita, Yusuke
AU - Mizuno, Yuji
AU - Hirosaki, Maki
AU - Wada, Haruna
AU - Fukushige, Shinichi
AU - Umeda, Yasushi
PY - 2010
Y1 - 2010
N2 - Numerous scenarios have been developed in order to create visions of a sustainable society, such as the IPCC's Scenarios. However, sufficient computational assistance has not been provided for designing scenarios. One critical problem is that it is difficult to understand scenarios rationally since scenarios are written in a text form and their logical structure is unclear. For supporting computer-aided scenario design, this paper presents the concept of Sustainable Society Scenario (3S) Simulator. The key approach is to structure scenarios for computerizing them by representing a scenario structure as a directed graph. Based on this approach, this paper proposes a method for dynamically connecting scenarios with associated simulators for their reuse. A case study illustrates that our method clarifies the logical structure of a scenario, e.g., clarifying rationales for deriving conclusions. Also, the method succeeds in exploring alternative futures by changing assumptions in the scenario.
AB - Numerous scenarios have been developed in order to create visions of a sustainable society, such as the IPCC's Scenarios. However, sufficient computational assistance has not been provided for designing scenarios. One critical problem is that it is difficult to understand scenarios rationally since scenarios are written in a text form and their logical structure is unclear. For supporting computer-aided scenario design, this paper presents the concept of Sustainable Society Scenario (3S) Simulator. The key approach is to structure scenarios for computerizing them by representing a scenario structure as a directed graph. Based on this approach, this paper proposes a method for dynamically connecting scenarios with associated simulators for their reuse. A case study illustrates that our method clarifies the logical structure of a scenario, e.g., clarifying rationales for deriving conclusions. Also, the method succeeds in exploring alternative futures by changing assumptions in the scenario.
KW - Computer-aided scenario design
KW - Logical structure
KW - Rationale
KW - Scenario
KW - Sustainable manufacturing
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84894173851&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=84894173851&partnerID=8YFLogxK
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:84894173851
SN - 9788864930077
T3 - Proceedings of APMS 2010 - International Conference on Advances in Production Management Systems
BT - Proceedings of APMS 2010 - International Conference on Advances in Production Management Systems
T2 - International Conference on Advances in Production Management Systems, APMS 2010
Y2 - 11 October 2010 through 13 October 2010
ER -
