Confidence Interval Estimation of Apparent Residential Load with PV System Based on Just-In-Time Modeling

Mako Katsuragawa; Shinji Wakao

doi:10.1109/PVSC40753.2019.8980670

Confidence Interval Estimation of Apparent Residential Load with PV System Based on Just-In-Time Modeling

Mako Katsuragawa, Shinji Wakao

School of Advanced Science and Engineering

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution

Abstract

In Japan, a number of residences have introduced PV system after the Feed-in-tariff program started in 2009. After the program is over, households that consume PV power by themselves instead of selling it will increase. With this backdrop, in this paper, we perform the confidence interval estimation of the next-day apparent residential load, i.e., the difference amount between the actual residential load and PV output, with Just-In-Time modeling. Some numerical examples, which demonstrate the validity of the proposed method, are presented.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	2019 IEEE 46th Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, PVSC 2019
Publisher	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages	1615-1620
Number of pages	6
ISBN (Electronic)	9781728104942
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1109/PVSC40753.2019.8980670
Publication status	Published - 2019 Jun
Event	46th IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, PVSC 2019 - Chicago, United States Duration: 2019 Jun 16 → 2019 Jun 21

Publication series

Name	Conference Record of the IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference
ISSN (Print)	0160-8371

Conference

Conference	46th IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, PVSC 2019
Country/Territory	United States
City	Chicago
Period	19/6/16 → 19/6/21

Keywords

Apparent residential load
Confidence interval estimation
Just-In-Time modeling
PV output estimation
Residential load estimation

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Control and Systems Engineering
Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering
Electrical and Electronic Engineering

Access to Document

10.1109/PVSC40753.2019.8980670

Cite this

Katsuragawa, M., & Wakao, S. (2019). Confidence Interval Estimation of Apparent Residential Load with PV System Based on Just-In-Time Modeling. In 2019 IEEE 46th Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, PVSC 2019 (pp. 1615-1620). Article 8980670 (Conference Record of the IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference). Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.. https://doi.org/10.1109/PVSC40753.2019.8980670

Confidence Interval Estimation of Apparent Residential Load with PV System Based on Just-In-Time Modeling. / Katsuragawa, Mako; Wakao, Shinji.
2019 IEEE 46th Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, PVSC 2019. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2019. p. 1615-1620 8980670 (Conference Record of the IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution

Katsuragawa, M & Wakao, S 2019, Confidence Interval Estimation of Apparent Residential Load with PV System Based on Just-In-Time Modeling. in 2019 IEEE 46th Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, PVSC 2019., 8980670, Conference Record of the IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., pp. 1615-1620, 46th IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, PVSC 2019, Chicago, United States, 19/6/16. https://doi.org/10.1109/PVSC40753.2019.8980670

Katsuragawa M, Wakao S. Confidence Interval Estimation of Apparent Residential Load with PV System Based on Just-In-Time Modeling. In 2019 IEEE 46th Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, PVSC 2019. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. 2019. p. 1615-1620. 8980670. (Conference Record of the IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference). doi: 10.1109/PVSC40753.2019.8980670

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title = "Confidence Interval Estimation of Apparent Residential Load with PV System Based on Just-In-Time Modeling",

abstract = "In Japan, a number of residences have introduced PV system after the Feed-in-tariff program started in 2009. After the program is over, households that consume PV power by themselves instead of selling it will increase. With this backdrop, in this paper, we perform the confidence interval estimation of the next-day apparent residential load, i.e., the difference amount between the actual residential load and PV output, with Just-In-Time modeling. Some numerical examples, which demonstrate the validity of the proposed method, are presented.",

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Confidence Interval Estimation of Apparent Residential Load with PV System Based on Just-In-Time Modeling

Abstract

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Conference

Keywords

ASJC Scopus subject areas

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