Data Assimilation Versus Machine Learning: Comparative Study of Fish Catch Forecasting

Yuka Horiuchi, Yuya Kokaki, Tetsunori Kobayashi, Tetsuji Ogawa

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Abstract

Data assimilation (DA) and machine learning (ML) are empirically compared for automatic daily fish catch forecasting (DFCF). ML would be a promising approach if large-scale data are available for training. Otherwise, DA would perform well, where prior knowledge on a monitoring target is incorporated into modeling. The present study aims to clarify the robustness of both approaches in DFCF with a small amount of data, and their evolution as the amount of training data increases. Experimental comparisons using catch and meteorological data demonstrate that a DA-based DFCF system yields a significant improvement over an ML-based systems with a small amount of data, and is comparable with ML-based systems with sufficient amount of data.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationOCEANS 2019 - Marseille, OCEANS Marseille 2019
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
ISBN (Electronic)9781728114507
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2019 Jun
Event2019 OCEANS - Marseille, OCEANS Marseille 2019 - Marseille, France
Duration: 2019 Jun 172019 Jun 20

Publication series

NameOCEANS 2019 - Marseille, OCEANS Marseille 2019
Volume2019-June

Conference

Conference2019 OCEANS - Marseille, OCEANS Marseille 2019
Country/TerritoryFrance
CityMarseille
Period19/6/1719/6/20

Keywords

  • data assimilation
  • fish catch forecasting
  • gradient boosting decision trees
  • machine learning
  • state space models

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Oceanography
  • Automotive Engineering
  • Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
  • Water Science and Technology
  • Instrumentation

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