Exploring the Persistent Behavior of Financial Markets

Yi Cheng Tsai, Chin Laung Lei, William Cheung, Chung Shu Wu, Jan Ming Ho, Chuan Ju Wang*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

3 Citations (Scopus)


This paper presents the persistent behavior hypothesis for financial markets, which is tested statistically on five stock indices from 2001 to 2014. We find significant results in all five stock markets for the full sample period as well as subperiods. A persistent behavior strategy (PBS) on index futures is also presented, the net annual returns of which are significantly higher than 15% in all futures markets including transaction costs. The best performance, about 27%, occurs in the E-mini NASDAQ 100 and TAIEX futures. We also present studies on the impact of investor behavior over market price of TAIEX futures.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)199-220
Number of pages22
JournalFinance Research Letters
Publication statusPublished - 2018 Mar
Externally publishedYes


  • Index Futures
  • Persistent Behavior
  • Trading Strategy

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Finance


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