Probabilistic approach to service life prediction of concrete structures subjected to load and environmental actions

Mitsuyoshi Akiyama*, Dan M. Frangopol, Ikumasa Yoshida, Hiroaki Tsuruta, Takumi Shimomura

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter

3 Citations (Scopus)


In the design of reinforced concrete (RC) structures in a marine environment, it is important to consider the effects of this environment on structural long-term performance. In this paper, a time-dependent structural reliability analysis method taking the hazard associated with airborne chlorides into consideration is proposed. Also, a procedure to obtain the failure probabilities of RC structures in a marine environment updated by Sequential Monte Carlo Simulation (SMCS) is indicated. In this procedure, the corrosion crack width is used as observational data. For illustrative purposes, time-dependent reliability analyses are presented for one-way RC slabs in a marine environment. Using SMCS, multiple random variables related to observation information can be updated simultaneously. This is realized by taking into consideration the joint probability density functions of the random variables. The effects of the hazard associated with airborne chlorides and an inspection result of corrosion cracking on the updated estimate of one-way RC slab reliability are discussed in this study.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationModelling of Corroding Concrete Structures
Subtitle of host publicationProceedings of the Joint fib-RIEMWorkshop held inMadrid, Spain, 22-23 November 2010
EditorsGiuseppe Mancini
Number of pages9
Publication statusPublished - 2011
Externally publishedYes

Publication series

NameRILEM Bookseries
ISSN (Print)2211-0844
ISSN (Electronic)2211-0852

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Civil and Structural Engineering
  • Building and Construction
  • Mechanics of Materials


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