TY - GEN
T1 - Proposal of design support method of sustainability scenarios in backcasting manner
AU - Mizuno, Yuji
AU - Kishita, Yusuke
AU - Wada, Haruna
AU - Kobayashi, Kazuhiro
AU - Fukushige, Shinichi
AU - Umeda, Yasushi
PY - 2012
Y1 - 2012
N2 - Describing sustainability scenarios is a hopeful approach for envisioning sustainable future visions of industries. However, describing sustainability scenarios is a difficult task and there is no computational support method. This article proposes a design support method of sustainability scenarios in a backcasting manner, which means thinking backward from targeted futures. For the design support method, we propose the following two methods;(i) a method for supporting backward thinking and constructing future visions using a logic tree and (ii) a method for drawing transition paths based on the logic tree. As a case study, we designed "Sustainable manufacturing scenario,"which envisions sustainable future visions of manufacturing industries. Through the case study, we identified the effectiveness of the proposed method. The proposed method supports designing the scenario in clarifying the future visions, drawing the transition paths, and describing them in scenario structurally.
AB - Describing sustainability scenarios is a hopeful approach for envisioning sustainable future visions of industries. However, describing sustainability scenarios is a difficult task and there is no computational support method. This article proposes a design support method of sustainability scenarios in a backcasting manner, which means thinking backward from targeted futures. For the design support method, we propose the following two methods;(i) a method for supporting backward thinking and constructing future visions using a logic tree and (ii) a method for drawing transition paths based on the logic tree. As a case study, we designed "Sustainable manufacturing scenario,"which envisions sustainable future visions of manufacturing industries. Through the case study, we identified the effectiveness of the proposed method. The proposed method supports designing the scenario in clarifying the future visions, drawing the transition paths, and describing them in scenario structurally.
KW - Backcasting
KW - Logic tree
KW - Scenario design
KW - Sustainability scenarios
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84884641974&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=84884641974&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1115/DETC2012-70850
DO - 10.1115/DETC2012-70850
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:84884641974
SN - 9780791845042
T3 - Proceedings of the ASME Design Engineering Technical Conference
SP - 767
EP - 776
BT - ASME 2012 International Design Engineering Technical Conferences and Computers and Information in Engineering Conference, IDETC/CIE 2012
T2 - ASME 2012 International Design Engineering Technical Conferences and Computers and Information in Engineering Conference, IDETC/CIE 2012
Y2 - 12 August 2012 through 12 August 2012
ER -
