TY - GEN
T1 - Reliability estimation of deteriorated RC-structures considering various observation data
AU - Yoshida, Ikumasa
AU - Akiyama, Mitsuyoshi
PY - 2011/12/1
Y1 - 2011/12/1
N2 - A reliability estimation method is proposed to estimate the limit state exceeding probability of existing structures considering observation data by Sequential Monte Carlo Simulation (SMCS). Accuracy estimation is one of the important issues when MC approach is adopted. Specifically SMCS approach has a problem known as degeneracy. Effective sample size is introduced to estimate the accuracy of estimated limit state exceeding probabilities. Coefficient of variance of estimated probability is predicted based on the effective sample size ratio of the updated model. The proposed method is demonstrated through a numerical example of reliability analysis on deteriorating RC structures.
AB - A reliability estimation method is proposed to estimate the limit state exceeding probability of existing structures considering observation data by Sequential Monte Carlo Simulation (SMCS). Accuracy estimation is one of the important issues when MC approach is adopted. Specifically SMCS approach has a problem known as degeneracy. Effective sample size is introduced to estimate the accuracy of estimated limit state exceeding probabilities. Coefficient of variance of estimated probability is predicted based on the effective sample size ratio of the updated model. The proposed method is demonstrated through a numerical example of reliability analysis on deteriorating RC structures.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84856755469&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=84856755469&partnerID=8YFLogxK
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:84856755469
SN - 9780415669863
T3 - Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering -Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering
SP - 1231
EP - 1239
BT - Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering -Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering
T2 - 11th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering, ICASP
Y2 - 1 August 2011 through 4 August 2011
ER -