Terrestrial water cycle and the impact of climate change

Fulu Tao; Masayuki Yokozawa; Yousay Hayashi; Erda Lin

doi:10.1579/0044-7447-32.4.295

Terrestrial water cycle and the impact of climate change

Fulu Tao^*, Masayuki Yokozawa, Yousay Hayashi, Erda Lin

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

25 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The terrestrial water cycle and the impact of climate change are critical for agricultural and natural ecosystems. In this paper, we assess both by running a macro-scale water balance model under a baseline condition and 2 General Circulation Model (GCM)-based climate change scenarios. The results show that in 2021-2030, water demand will increase worldwide due to climate change. Water shortage is expected to worsen in western Asia, the Arabian Peninsula, northern and southern Africa, northeastern Australia, southwestern North America, and central South America. A significant increase in surface runoff is expected in southern Asia and a significant decrease is expected in northern South America. These changes will have implications for regional environment and socioeconomics.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	295-301
Number of pages	7
Journal	Ambio
Volume	32
Issue number	4
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1579/0044-7447-32.4.295
Publication status	Published - 2003 Jun
Externally published	Yes

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Geography, Planning and Development
Environmental Chemistry
Ecology

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.1579/0044-7447-32.4.295

Cite this

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AB - The terrestrial water cycle and the impact of climate change are critical for agricultural and natural ecosystems. In this paper, we assess both by running a macro-scale water balance model under a baseline condition and 2 General Circulation Model (GCM)-based climate change scenarios. The results show that in 2021-2030, water demand will increase worldwide due to climate change. Water shortage is expected to worsen in western Asia, the Arabian Peninsula, northern and southern Africa, northeastern Australia, southwestern North America, and central South America. A significant increase in surface runoff is expected in southern Asia and a significant decrease is expected in northern South America. These changes will have implications for regional environment and socioeconomics.

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Terrestrial water cycle and the impact of climate change

Abstract

ASJC Scopus subject areas

UN SDGs

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