The Liability of Volatility and How it Changes Over Time Among New Ventures

Erik Lundmark*, Alex Coad, Julian S. Frankish, David J. Storey

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

14 Citations (Scopus)


This article theorizes how short-term revenue volatility affects new venture viability and how such volatility develops over time. Tracking the bank accounts of 6,578 new ventures over a 10-year period, we find that, even after controlling for a range of other factors, short-term revenue volatility is a strong predictor of venture exit. Although short-term revenue volatility is associated with the depletion of buffer resources and financial default, surviving ventures do not, on average, decrease their short-term revenue volatility over time. However, short-term revenue volatility decreases at the cohort level due to higher exit rates of volatile ventures.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)933-963
Number of pages31
JournalEntrepreneurship: Theory and Practice
Issue number5
Publication statusPublished - 2020 Sept 1
Externally publishedYes


  • adaptation
  • evolutionary theory
  • liability of newness
  • liability of smallness
  • selection

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Business and International Management
  • Economics and Econometrics


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