## 抄録

In 1950s, Markowitzs first proposed portfolio theory based on a mean-variance (MV) model to balance the risk and profit of decentralized investment. The two main inputs of MV are expected return rate and the variance of expected return rate. The expected return rate is an estimated value which is often decided by experts. Various uncertainty of stock price brings difficulties to predict return rate even for experts. MV model has its tendency to maximize the influence of errors in the input assumptions. Some scholars used fuzzy intervals to describe the return rate. However, there were still some variables decided by experts. This paper proposes a classification method to find the latent relationship between the interval return rate and the trading data of a stock and predict the interval of return rate without consulting any expert. Then this paper constructs the portfolio model based on minimax rule with interval numbers. The evaluation results show that the proposed method is reliable.

本文言語 | English |
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ホスト出版物のタイトル | IEEE International Conference on Fuzzy Systems |

出版社 | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. |

ページ | 2047-2054 |

ページ数 | 8 |

ISBN（印刷版） | 9781479920723 |

DOI | |

出版ステータス | Published - 2014 9月 4 |

イベント | 2014 IEEE International Conference on Fuzzy Systems, FUZZ-IEEE 2014 - Beijing 継続期間: 2014 7月 6 → 2014 7月 11 |

### Other

Other | 2014 IEEE International Conference on Fuzzy Systems, FUZZ-IEEE 2014 |
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City | Beijing |

Period | 14/7/6 → 14/7/11 |

## ASJC Scopus subject areas

- ソフトウェア
- 人工知能
- 応用数学
- 理論的コンピュータサイエンス