Disinformation and Regime Survival

Yuko Sato, Felix Wiebrecht*

*この研究の対応する著者

研究成果: Article査読

抄録

Disinformation has transformed into a global issue and while it is seen as a growing concern to democracy today, autocrats have long used it as a part of their propaganda repertoire. Yet, no study has tested the effect of disinformation on regime stability and breakdown beyond country-specific studies. Drawing on novel measures from the Digital Society Project (DSP) estimating the levels of disinformation disseminated by governments across 148 countries between 2000–2022 and from the Episodes of Regime Transformation (ERT) dataset, we provide the first global comparative study of disinformation and survival of democratic and authoritarian regimes, respectively. The results show that in authoritarian regimes, disinformation helps rulers to stay in power as regimes with higher levels of disinformation are less likely to experience democratization episodes. In democracies, on the other hand, disinformation increases the probability of autocratization onsets. As such, this study is the first to provide comparative evidence on the negative effects of disinformation on democracy as well as on the prospects of democratization.

本文言語English
ページ(範囲)1010-1025
ページ数16
ジャーナルPolitical Research Quarterly
77
3
DOI
出版ステータスPublished - 2024 9月

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • 社会学および政治科学

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