Metapopulation models imply non-Poissonian statistics of interevent times

Elohim Fonseca Dos Reis, Naoki Masuda*

*この研究の対応する著者

研究成果: Article査読

抄録

Interevent times in temporal contact data from humans and animals typically obey heavy-tailed distributions, which impacts contagion and other dynamical processes on networks. We theoretically show that distributions of interevent times heavier-tailed than exponential distributions are a consequence of the most basic metapopulation model used in epidemiology and ecology, in which individuals move from one patch to another according to the simple random walk. Our results hold true irrespective of the network structure and also for more realistic mobility rules such as high-order random walks and the recurrent mobility patterns used for modeling human dynamics.

本文言語English
論文番号013050
ジャーナルPhysical Review Research
4
1
DOI
出版ステータスPublished - 2022 3月

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • 物理学および天文学(全般)

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