Heavy precipitation from extratropical cyclones (ETCs) can have serious environmental and societal impacts. The aim of the study is to model changes in ETC-related precipitation in the Baltic Sea area by the end of 21st century. Using the Weather Research and Forecasting model (ARW-WRF), Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) ensemble output, the IPCC proposed RCP8.5 future scenario, and two hindcasted ETCs (Jan 2005, Nov 2008), we study these storms in projected future (i.e. "surrogate") conditions. The results showed up to 20-30% increase in precipitation; the spatial shifts and variability within the modeling domains were still substantial.
|出版ステータス||Published - 2019|
|イベント||39th IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium, IGARSS 2019 - Yokohama, Japan|
継続期間: 2019 7月 28 → 2019 8月 2
|Conference||39th IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium, IGARSS 2019|
|Period||19/7/28 → 19/8/2|
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- コンピュータ サイエンスの応用