TY - GEN
T1 - Stochastic dynamic power flow analysis based on stochastic response surfarce method and ARMA-GARCH model
AU - Nguyen-Hong, Nhung
AU - Yosuke, Nakanishi
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2017 IEEE.
PY - 2017/10/26
Y1 - 2017/10/26
N2 - Nowadays, renewable energy has become a very viable alternative solution to provide electricity. However, the uncertainty of renewable energy changes traditional issues in operation and control of power system. This paper proposes a Stochastic Dynamic Power Flow Analysis to evaluate state variables' probability distribution at any time t. Stochastic process of renewable energy is modeled and simulated by ARMA-GARCH model. The Stochastic Response Surface Method is also applied to increase computational efficiency with the same accuracy as Monte Carlo simulation. Stochastic Dynamic Power Flow Analysis is applied to IEEE 30-bus system and time dependent probability distribution of voltage, frequency and network loss will be analyzed.
AB - Nowadays, renewable energy has become a very viable alternative solution to provide electricity. However, the uncertainty of renewable energy changes traditional issues in operation and control of power system. This paper proposes a Stochastic Dynamic Power Flow Analysis to evaluate state variables' probability distribution at any time t. Stochastic process of renewable energy is modeled and simulated by ARMA-GARCH model. The Stochastic Response Surface Method is also applied to increase computational efficiency with the same accuracy as Monte Carlo simulation. Stochastic Dynamic Power Flow Analysis is applied to IEEE 30-bus system and time dependent probability distribution of voltage, frequency and network loss will be analyzed.
KW - ARMA-GARCH
KW - Dynamic power flow
KW - Renewable energy
KW - Stochastic power flow
KW - Wind power
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85040196361&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=85040196361&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1109/ISGT.2017.8086059
DO - 10.1109/ISGT.2017.8086059
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:85040196361
T3 - 2017 IEEE Power and Energy Society Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Conference, ISGT 2017
BT - 2017 IEEE Power and Energy Society Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Conference, ISGT 2017
PB - Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
T2 - 2017 IEEE Power and Energy Society Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Conference, ISGT 2017
Y2 - 23 April 2017 through 26 April 2017
ER -